Shop this line as you can find +106 in the market currently which is where I played it personally. I have the Red Sox winning 53 percent of simulations in this situation, meaning this line should be closer to -113 for Boston. Cleveland ranks 28th in MLB in terms of wOBA against left-handed pitching, and this also represents a positive park shift for James Paxton. Bieber's numbers aren't great and indicate he should struggle with top tier offenses (Boston top 5 vs. RHP) due to his .388 xwOBA (4-Seam) and .410 xwOBA (cutter) numbers on his fastballs. I like the Red Sox in this matchup as slight underdogs.